Percepción de integridad electoral, confianza en las elecciones y comprensión de la democracia: una aproximación a la “paradoja mexicana”
No. 110 (2022-04-01)Autor/a(es/as)
-
Alejandro Monsiváis-CarrilloDepartamento de Estudios de Administración Pública/El Colegio de la Frontera Norte (México)
Resumen
Objetivo/contexto: es común que la ciudadanía asocie a la democracia con diferentes valores y resultados deseables. Una comprensión informada de la democracia requiere, sin embargo, que la gente la conciba como un régimen en el que las elecciones son libres y limpias, el Gobierno está limitado por la legalidad y la ciudadanía goza de iguales derechos y libertades. El argumento es que una comprensión informada de la democracia liberal-electoral refuerza la relación positiva entre la percepción de integridad electoral y la confianza en las elecciones. Metodología: con base en encuestas de opinión pública, el análisis empírico se centra en el caso de México, donde se observa una amplia desconfianza ciudadana en las elecciones a pesar de que los comicios suelen ser libres y limpios. El análisis se replica en otros países de América Latina. Conclusiones: el análisis revela que es más probable que los votantes confíen en las elecciones si perciben que los votos se cuentan limpiamente, los funcionarios electorales son imparciales, los medios ofrecen una cobertura equilibrada o las mujeres tienen iguales oportunidades de ser candidatas. Este estudio muestra, además, que los votantes que perciben integridad electoral y tienen una comprensión informada de la democracia expresarán más confianza en las elecciones que quienes no conciben la democracia de esa forma. Originalidad: los resultados confirman que una concepción informada de la democracia fortalece la confianza en las elecciones entre quienes perciben integridad en el proceso electoral.
Referencias
Birch, Sarah. 2008. “Electoral Institutions and Popular Confidence in Electoral Processes: A cross-National Analysis.” Electoral Studies 27 (2): 305-320. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2008.01.005
Bruhn, Kathleen, and Kenneth F.Greene. 2007. “Elite Polarization Meets Mass Moderation in Mexico’s 2006 Elections.” PS: Political Science & Politics 40 (1): 33-38. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049096507070060
Canache, Damarys. 2012. “Citizen’s Conceptualization of Democracy: Structural Complexity, Substantive Content, and Political Significance.” Comparative Political Studies 45 (9): 1132-1158. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414011434009
Cantú, Francisco. 2014. “Identifying Irregularities in Mexican Local Elections.” American Journal of Political Science 58 (4): 936-951. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12097
Cantú, Francisco, and OmarGarcía-Ponce. 2015. “Partisan losers’ effects: Perceptions of electoral integrity in Mexico.” Electoral Studies 39: 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2015.03.004
Carlin, Ryan, and Matthew M.Singer. 2011. “Support for Polyarchy in the Americas.” Comparative Political Studies 44 (11): 1500-1526. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414011407471
Casar, María Amparo, and Luis CarlosUgalde. 2018. Dinero bajo la mesa. Ciudad de México: Integralia Consultores, Mexicanos Contra la Corrupción y la Impunidad.
Cho, Youngho. 2014. “To Know Democracy Is to Love It: A Cross-National Analysis of Democratic Understanding and Political Support for Democracy.” Political Research Quarterly 67 (3): 478-488. https://doi.org/10.1177/1065912914532721.
Coppedge, Michael. 2012. Democratization and Research Methods. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Crow, David. 2010. “The Party’s Over: Citizen Conceptions of Democracy and Political Dissatisfaction in Mexico.” Comparative Politics 43 (1): 41-61. http://www.jstor.org/stable/25741386
Dahl, Robert A. 1971. Polyarchy: Participation and Opposition. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Eisenstadt, Todd A. 2004. Courting Democracy in Mexico: Party Strategies and Electoral Institutions. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Eisenstadt, Todd A. 2007. “The Origins and Rationality of the “Legal versus Legitimate” Dichotomy Invoked in Mexico’s 2006 Post-Electoral Conflict.” PS: Political Science & Politics 1 (40): 39-43. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049096507070072
Esaiasson, Peter, StefanDahlberg, and AndrejKokkonen. 2020. “In Pursuit of Happiness: Life Satisfaction Drives Political Support.” European Journal of Political Research 59 (1): 25-44. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/14756765.12335
Estévez, Federico, EricMagar, and GuillermoRosas. 2008. “Partisanship in Non-partisan Electoral Agencies and Democratic Compliance: Evidence from Mexico’s Federal Electoral Institute.” Electoral Studies 27 (2): 257-271. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2007.11.013
Flesken, Anaïd, and JakobHartl. 2018. “Party Support, Values, and Perceptions of Electoral Integrity.” Political Psychology 39 (3): 707-724. https://doi.org/10.1111/pops.12431
Fortin-Rittberger, Jessica, PhilippHarfst, and Sarah C.Dingler. 2017. “The Costs of Electoral Fraud: Establishing the Link Between Electoral Integrity, Winning an Election, and Satisfaction with Democracy.” Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 27 (3): 350-368. https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2017.1310111
Haerpfer, Christian, RonaldInglehart, AlejandroMoreno, ChristianWelzel, KseniyaKizilova, Diez-MedranoJaime, MartaLagos, PippaNorris, EduardPonarin, and BiPuranen. 2020. World Values Survey: Round Seven - Country-Pooled Datafile. Madrid, Spain & Vienna, Austria: JD Systems Institute & WVSA Secretariat.
Hiskey, Jonathan, Mary Fran T.Malone, and AlejandroDiaz-Dominguez. 2020. “Authoritarian Recall: Mexico’s Drug War and Subnational Patterns of Opposition to Democracy.” Journal of Politics in Latin America 12 (1): 3-31. https://doi.org/10.1177/1866802x20913287
IFE. 2010. Instituto Federal Electoral, 20 años. México: Instituto Federal Electoral.
Landwehr, Claudia, and Nils D.Steiner. 2017. “Where Democrats Disagree: Citizens’ Normative Conceptions of Democracy.” Political Studies 65 (4): 786-804. https://doi.org/10.1177/0032321717715398
Langston, Joy. 2020. “¿Por qué los partidos hacen trampa? Cambios en las normas electorales en México despúes de la democratización.” Política y Gobierno XXVIII (2): 1-32, http://www.politicaygobierno.cide.edu/index.php/pyg/article/view/1289
Levitsky, Steven, and Lucan AWay. 2010. Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes after the Cold War. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Ley, Sandra. 2017. “To Vote or Not to Vote.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 62 (9): 1963-1990. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002717708600
Lührmann, Anna, MarcusTannenberg, and StaffanLindberg. 2018. “Regimes of the World (RoW): Opening New Avenues for the Comparative Study of Political Regimes.” Politics and Governance 6 (1): 60-77. https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v6i1.1214
Magaloni, Beatriz. 2006. Voting for Autocracy: Hegemonic Party Survival and its Demise in Mexico. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Maldonado, Arturo, and Mitchell A.Seligson. 2014. “Electoral Trust in Latin America.” In Advancing Electoral Integrity, edited by PippaNorris, FrankRichard W. and FerranMartínez i Coma, 229-245. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Mauk, Marlene. 2020. “Electoral Integrity Matters: How Electoral Process Conditions the Relationship between Political Losing and Political Rrust.” Quality & Quantity. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-020-01050-1
Mauk, Marlene. 2021. “Quality of Democracy Makes a Difference, but Not for Everyone: How Political Interest, Education, and Conceptions of Democracy Condition the Relationship Between Democratic Quality and Political Trust.” Frontiers in Political Science 3 (43). https://doi.org/10.3389/fpos.2021.637344
McAllister, Ian, and StephenWhite. 2015. “Electoral Integrity and Support for Democracy in Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine.” Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 25 (1): 78-96. https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2014.911744
Méndez de Hoyos, Irma. 2013. “Los organos de administración electoral y la calidad de las elecciones locales en México.” In Instituciones electorales, opinión pública y poderes políticos locales en México, edited by Irma Méndezde Hoyos and NicolásLoza, 27-58. México: FLACSO-México.
Méndez de Hoyos, Irma, FerránMartínez i Coma, and NicolásLoza. 2019. “Introducción.” In Integridad electoral: México en perspectiva global, edited by IrmaMéndez, NicolásLoza, and FerránMartínez, 7-16. FLACSO-México.
Monsiváis-Carrillo, Alejandro. 2018. “El apoyo a la democracia en México: ¿el deseo crítico de una democracia liberal?” Política y Gobierno XXV (2): 263-300.
Montes de Oca, Rodrigo. 2018. Mexico’s Electoral Authorities: Implications for Democracy and the Rule of Law. Houston, Texas: Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. https://www.bakerinstitute.org/media/files/files/f6eca3fe/bi-brief-092418-mex-electoralauthorities.pdf
Moreno, Alejandro, and Shannon K.O’Neil. 2014. “El malestar democrático en México.” In El comportamiento electoral mexicano en las elecciones de 2012, edited by GustavoMeixueiro and AlejandroMoreno, 317-324. México: CESOP-Cámara de Diputados (LXII Legislatura).
Moreno, Alejandro, and ChristianWelzel. 2014. “Enlightening People: The Spark of Emancipative Values.” In The Civic Culture Transformed: from Allegiant to Assertive Citizens, edited by Russell J.Dalton and ChristianWelzel, 59-88. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Munck, Gerardo. 2016. “What is Democracy? A Reconceptualization of the Quality of Democracy.” Democratization 23 (1): 1-26. https://doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2014.918104
Norris, Pippa. 2014. Why Electoral Integrity Matters. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Norris, Pippa. 2017. “The Conceptual Framework of Political Support.” In Handbook on Political Trust, edited by Tom W.G.van der Meer, and SonjaZmerli, 19-32. UK: Edward Elgar Publishing.
Norris, Pippa. 2019. “Do Perceptions of Electoral Malpractice Undermine Democratic Satisfaction? The US in Comparative Perspective.” International Political Science Review 40 (1): 5-22. https://doi.org/10.1177/0192512118806783
OAS. 2018. Electoral Observation Mission. Federal and Local Elections Mexico. Washington, D.C. http://www.oas.org/eomdatabase/moeInfo.aspx?Lang=en&Id=409.
OEA. 8 de junio 2021. Informe preliminar de la misión de visitantes extranjeros de la organización de los Estados Americanos para las elecciones federales y locales en México. Organización de Estados Americanos(Washington DC).https://www.oas.org/documents/spa/press/Informe-Preliminar-MVE-Mexico-2021.pdf.
Ortega, Reynaldo Yunuen, and María FernandaSomuano. 2015. Confianza y cambio político en México: contiendas electorales y el IFE. México: El Colegio de México.
Osterberg-Kaufmann, Norma, ToralfStark, and ChristophMohamad-Klotzbach. 2020. “Challenges in conceptualizing and measuring meanings and understandings of democracy.” Zeitschrift für Vergleichende Politikwissenschaft 14 (4): 299-320. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12286-020-00470-5
Ponce, Aldo F. 2016. “Cárteles de droga, violencia y competitividad electoral a nivel local: Evidencia del caso mexicano.” Latin American Research Review 51 (4): 62-85.
Quaranta, Mario. 2018. “How citizens evaluate democracy: an assessment using the European Social Survey.” European Political Science Review 10 (2): 191-217. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1755773917000054
Salazar Elena, Rodrigo, and Laura GeorginaFlores-Ivich. 2013. “Determinantes de las percepciones sobre la calidad de las elecciones locales.” In Instituciones electorales, opinión pública y poderes políticos locales en México, edited by Irma Méndezde Hoyos and NicolásLoza, 93-111. México: FLACSO-México.
Schedler, Andreas. 2002. “Elections Without Democracy: The Menu of Manipulation.” Journal of Democracy 13 (2): 36-50. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2002.0031
Schedler, Andreas. 2005. “From Electoral Authoritarianism to Democratic Consolidation.” In Mexico’s Democracy at Work, edited by RussellCrandall, GuadalupePaz, and RiordanRoett, 9-39. Boulder, Co.: Lynne Rienner Publishers.
Schedler, Andreas, and RodolfoSarsfield. 2009. “Demócratas iliberales. Configuraciones contradictorias de apoyo a la democracia en México.” Espiral: Estudios de Estado y Sociedad 15 (44): 123-159.
Shin, Doh Chull, and Hannah JuneKim. 2018. “How Global Citizenries Think about Democracy: An Evaluation and Synthesis of Recent Public Opinion Research.” Japanese Journal of Political Science 19 (2): 222-249. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1468109918000063
Sonnleitner, Willibald. 2016. La fábrica de la (des)confianza ciudadana: las percepciones cambiantes de la integridad electoral en México. México: CESOP-Cámara de Diputados.
UguesJr., Antonio. 2018. “Public Perceptions of Clean Elections in Mexico: An Analysis of the 2000, 2006, and 2012 Elections.” Journal of Politics in Latin America 10 (2): 77-98. https://doi.org/10.1177/1866802x1801000203.
UguesJr., Antonio, and D. XavierMedina Vidal. 2015. “Public Evaluations of Electoral Institutions in Mexico: An Analysis of the IFE and TRIFE in the 2006 and 2012 elections.” Electoral Studies 40: 231-244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2015.09.005
V-Dem. 2019. Democracy Facing Global Challenges? V-Dem Annual Report 2019. University of Gothenburg: V-Dem Institute.
van der Meer, Tom W.G., and SonjaZmerli. 2017. “The Deeple Rooted Concern with Political Trust.” In Handbook on Political Trust, edited by Tom W.G.van der Meer, and SonjaZmerli, 1-18. UK: Edward Elgar Publishing.
Van Ham, Carolien. 2015. “Getting Elections Right? Measuring Electoral Integrity.” Democratization 22 (4): 714-737. https://doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2013.877447
Wegscheider, Carsten, and ToralfStark. 2020. “What Drives Citizens’ Evaluation of Democratic Performance? The Interaction of Citizens’ Democratic Knowledge and Institutional Level of Democracy.” Zeitschrift für Vergleichende Politikwissenschaft 14 (4): 345-374. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12286-020-00467-0.
Wellman, Elizabeth Iams, Susan D.Hyde, and Thad E.Hall. 2018. “Does fraud trump partisanship? The Impact of Contentious Elections on Voter Confidence.” Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 28 (3): 330-348. https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2017.1394865
Welzel, Christian. 2013. Freedom Rising: Human Empowerment and the Quest for EmancipationCambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Licencia

Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 4.0.