Los efectos del clima en la productividad de los trabajadores: evidencia de la industria manufacturera colombiana
No. 79 (2017-09-01)Autor/a(es/as)
-
Mateo Salazar
Resumen
Este artículo cuantifica el efecto de un aumento de temperatura y precipitación sobre la productividad de los trabajadores en la industria manufacturera colombiana. La metodología se basa en un modelo teórico y una estimación empírica. La estimación del modelo empírico se realiza con datos económicos de la Encuesta Anual Manufacturera, la Muestra Mensual Manufacturera, mientras que los datos climáticos provienen del Ideam. Los resultados muestran un efecto negativo de la temperatura (- 0,3%/ + 1%) y un efecto positivo de la precipitación (+ 0,03 % / + 1 %) en la productividad de los trabajadores. Los resultados se basan en la literatura que sostiene que la productividad laboral es un canal a través del cual el clima y el cambio climático afectan el desempeño económico.
Referencias
Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S., & Robinson, J. (2002). Reversal of fortune: Geography and institutions in making of modern world income distribution. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4), 1231-1294.
Arrow, K. (2004). Are we consuming too much? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(3), 147-172.
Auffenhammer, M., Hsiang, S., Schlenker, W., & Sobel, A. (2013). Using weather data and climate model output in economic analyses of climate change. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 7(2), 181-198.
Barro, R., & Martin, X. S. (1995.). Economic Growth. London: McGraw-Hill.
Bogliacino, F., & Pianta, M. (2009). The impact of innovation on labour productivity growth in European industries: Does it depend on firms’ competitiveness strategies? (Working Paper). ITPS.
Bond, S., Leblebiciog, A., & Schiantarelli, F. (2009). Capital accumulation and growth: A new look at the empirical evidence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 25(7), 1073-1099
Burke, M., Hsiang, S., & Miguel, E. (2015). Climate and conflict. Annual Review of Economics, 7(1), 577-617.
Cadena, A., Rosales, R., Salazar, M., Rojas, A., Delgado, R., & Espinosa, M. (2012). MAPS: Colombia case study (Working Paper). MAPS.
Caselli, F., Esquivel, G., & Lefort, F. (1996). Reopening the convergence debate: A new look at cross-country growth empirics. Journal of Economic Growth, 1(3), 363-389.
CEDE (1993-2010). Panel Municipal del CEDE- Universidad de los Andes. (Working Paper). CEDE
CONPES (2011). 3700- Estrategia institutcional para la articulación de políticas y acciones en materia de cambio climático en Colombia. Technical report, DNP. http://oab2.ambientebogota.gov.co/es/documentacion-e-investigaciones/resultado-busqueda/conpes-3700-estrategia-institucional-para-la-articulacion-de-poli-ticas-y-acciones-en-materia-de-cambio-climatico-en
D’Orazio, M., Di Zio, M., & Scanu, M. (2006). Statistical Matching. London: Wiley.
Daly, H. (1996). Beyond Growth: The Economics of Sustainable Development. Boston: Beacon.
DANE (1993-2004). Annual Manufacturing Industry. Technical Report. Departamento Nacional de Estadística. https://www.dane.gov.co/files/investigaciones/boletines/eam/boletin_eam_2015.pdf
DANE (2001-2011). Monthly Manufacturing Sample. Technical Report. Departamento Nacional de Estadistica. https://www.dane.gov.co/index.php/comunicados-y-boletines/industria/mmm
Dell, M., Jones, B., & Olken, B. (2012). Climate change and economic growth: Evidence from the last half century. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 4(3), 66-95.
Dell, M., Jones, B., & Olken, B. (2009). Temperature and income: Reconciling new cross-sectional and panel estimates. American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings, 4(3), 66-95.
Dell, M., Jones, B., & Olken, B. (2013). What do we learn from the weather? The new climate-economy literature. Journal of Economic Literature, 52(3), 740-798.
D’Orazio, M., Zio, M. D., & Scanu, M. (2006). Statistical matching. London: Wiley.
Gallup, J. L., Sachs, J. D., & Mellinger, A. (1999). Geography and economic development (Working Paper). CID.
Graff, J., Hsiang, S., & Neidell, M. (2015). Temperature and human capital in the short- and long-run. Cambridge: NBER.
Graff, J., & Neidell, M. (2013). Environment, health and human capital. Journal of Economic Literature, 51(3), 689-730.
Graff, J., & Neidell, M. (2014). Temperature and the allocation of time: Implications for climate change. Journal of Labor Economics, 32(1), 1-26.
Greene, W. (2008). Econometric analysis. Cambridge: Pearson.
Hall, R. E., & Jones, C. I. (1999). Why do some countries produce so much more output per worker than others?. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114(1), 83-116.
Hijmans, R., Cameron, S., Parra, L., Jones, P., & Jarvis, A. (2005). Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology, 25(15), 1965-1978.
Hsiang, S. (2010). Temperatures and cyclones strongly associated with economic production in the Caribbean and Central America. Proceedings of the National Academy of sciences, 107(35), 15367-15372.
IDEAM. (2011). Temperature and precipitation data. IDEAM. https://www.datos.gov.co/
Mankiw, G., Romer, D., & Weil, D. N. (1992). A contribution to the empirics of economic growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(2), 407-437.
Nordhaus, W. (2006). Geography and macroeconomics: New data and new findings. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 103(10), 3510-3517.
Pilcher, J., Nadler, E., & Bush, C. (2002). Effects of hot and cold temperature exposure on performance: A meta-analytic review. Ergonomics, 45(10), 682-698.
Ramsey, F. (1928). A mathematical theory of saving. The Economic Journal, 38(152), 543-559.
Rodrik, D., Subramanian, A., & Trebbi, F. (2002). Institutions rule: The primacy of institutions over geography and integration in economic development. Journal of Economic Growth, 9(2), 131-165.
Rosenthal, R., & Jacobson, L. (1992). Pygmalion in the classroom:Teacher expectation and pupils’ intellectual development. London: Crown House Publishing Limited.
Sachs, J. (2003). Institution don’t rule: Direct effects of geography on per capita income (Working Paper). NBER.
Sachs, J. D., & Warner, A. M. (1997). Sources of slow growth in African economies. Journal of African Economies, 6(3), 335-376.
Sánchez, F., & Acosta, P. (2001). Proyecto indicadores de competividad: Colombia. Proyecto Andino de Competitividad. Documento de trabajo. Reporte técnico. CID, Harvard University.
Smith, A. (1776). An inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth of nations. London: W. Strahan and T. Cadell.
Solow, R. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quaterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65-94.
Somanathan, E., Somanathan, R., Sudardhan, A., & Tewari, M. (2015). The impact of temperature on productivity and labor supply: Evidence from Indian manufacturing (Working Paper). CDE.
Stern, N. (2006). Stern review: The economics of climate change. Technical report. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Tol, R. (2009). The economic effects of climate change. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 23(2), 29-51.