Impact evaluation of the “Tarjeta Alimentar” on food insecurity in Argentina
No. 102 (2026-04-13)Author(s)
-
Matías MaljarUniversidad Católica ArgentinaORCID iD: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-1892-342X
-
Ianina TuñónUniversidad Católica ArgentinaORCID iD: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9862-0878
-
Agustín SalviaUniversidad Católica ArgentinaORCID iD: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4976-9008
Abstract
Tarjeta Alimentar (TA) has been in place since 2020 as an income supplement for families receiving Argentina’s Asignación Universal por Hijo (AUH). The amount of the benefit varies depending on the number of children and adolescents in the household. This study assesses the impact of TA eligibility on food insecurity (FI) using a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach. Based on a sample of urban households with children and adolescents who were AUH recipients, the findings indicate that TA eligibility significantly reduced severe food insecurity in 2020. Owing to the program’s design, severe FI reductions were larger than the average in households with two child recipients, as well as in those with younger children. Moreover, substantial decreases in severe FI were registered in single-parent households and in households where mothers had low education levels. Given that the identification strategy is based on eligibility (age-based rule) rather than observed receipt, the estimates should be interpreted as an Intention-To-Treat (ITT) effect of being eligible for TA.
References
Abadie, A. (2005). Semiparametric difference-in-differences estimators. The Review of Economic Studies, 72(1), 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1111/0034-6527.00321
Agis, E., Cañete, C., & Panigo, D. (2010). El impacto de la Asignación Universal por Hijo en Argentina. Empleo, Desempleo y Políticas de Empleo, 15(3), 1-77.
Águila, E. (2011). Personal retirement accounts and saving. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 3(4), 1-24. https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.3.4.1
Ahmed, A., Hoddinott, J., & Roy, S. (2025). Food transfers, cash transfers, behavior change communication and child nutrition: Evidence from Bangladesh. The World Bank Economic Review, 39(2), 439-472. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhae023
Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J. S. (2009). Mostly harmless econometrics: An empiricist’s companion. Princeton University Press.
Antón, J. I., Intriago, R., & Ponce, J. (2025). Do conditional cash transfers in childhood increase economic resilience in adulthood? Evidence from the covid-19 pandemic shock in Ecuador. arXiv preprint arXiv:2506.06903. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2506.06903
Arezzo, M. F., Horodnic, I. A., Williams, C. C., & Guagnano, G. (2024). Measuring participation in undeclared work in Europe using survey data: A method for resolving social desirability bias. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 91, 101779. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2023.101779
Baron, E. J., Goldstein, E. G., & Wallace, C. T. (2020). Suffering in silence: How covid-19 school closures inhibit the reporting of child maltreatment. Journal of Public Economics, 190, 104258. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104258
Barrett, C., Reardon, T., Swinnen, J., & Zilberman, D. (2019). Structural transformation and economic development: Insights from the agri-food value chain revolution. https://barrett.dyson.cornell.edu/files/papers/BRSZ%2013%20Aug%202019.pdf
Bergolo, M., & Cruces, G. (2014). Work and tax evasion incentive effects of social insurance programs: Evidence from an employment-based benefit extension. Journal of Public Economics, 117, 211-228. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2014.04.015
Bergolo, M., & Cruces, G. (2021). The anatomy of behavioral responses to social assistance when informal employment is high. Journal of Public Economics, 193, 104313. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104313
Bonfiglio, J. I. (2021). Efectos de la pandemia covid-19 sobre la inseguridad alimentaria: Un análisis longitudinal para el Área Metropolitana Bonaerense (AMBA). Trabajo y Sociedad, 22(36), 101-121. https://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/bitstream/123456789/14367/1/efectos-pandemia-covid19-inseguridad.pdf
Bonfiglio, J. I., Vera, J., & Salvia, A. (2023). Privaciones sociales y desigualdades estructurales: Condiciones materiales de los hogares en un escenario de estancamiento económico (2010-2022). Documento Estadístico del Barómetro de la Deuda Social Argentina, 3. https://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/bitstream/123456789/16510/1/privaciones-sociales-desigualdades.pdf
Bursztyn, L., González, A. L., & Yanagizawa-Drott, D. (2020). Misperceived social norms: Women working outside the home in Saudi Arabia. American Economic Review, 110(10), 2997-3029. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20180975
Cameron, A. C., Gelbach, J. B., & Miller, D. L. (2008). Bootstrap-based improvements for inference with clustered errors. The Review of Economics And Statistics, 90(3), 414-427. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.90.3.414
Card, D., & Krueger, A. B. (1994). Minimum wages and employment: A case study of the fast food industry in New Jersey and Pennsylvania. American Economic Review, 84 772-793. https://dataspace.princeton.edu/bitstream/88435/dsp017d278t020/1
Cecchini, S., Villatoro, P., & Mancero, X. (2021). El impacto de las transferencias monetarias no contributivas sobre la pobreza en América Latina. Revista de la Cepal, 134(1), 7-32. https://repositorio.cepal.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/25b6a515-182d-4a7d-8f68-87443adbaee9/content
De Sena, A., Dettano, A., & Chahbenderian, F. (2016). Del ingreso universal a las transferencias condicionadas: Itinerarios sinuosos. Estudios Sociológicos Editora. https://www.academia.edu/download/76234404/del_ingreso_universal_a_las_transferencias_condicionadas.pdf
Donza, E. (2023). Escenario laboral en la Argentina del pos-covid-19: Persistente heterogeneidad estructural en un contexto de leve recuperación (2010-2022). Documento Estadístico del Barómetro de la Deuda Social Argentina, 1. https://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/bitstream/123456789/16594/1/escenario-laboral-argentina-pos.pdf
Egger, D., Haushofer, J., Miguel, E., Niehaus, P., & Walker, M. (2022). General equilibrium effects of cash transfers: Experimental evidence from Kenya. Econometrica, 90(6), 2603-2643. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA17945
Fang, W., Liu, Z., & Putra, A. R. S. (2022). Role of research and development in green economic growth through renewable energy development: Empirical evidence from South Asia. Renewable Energy, 194, 1142-1152. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2022.04.125
Fernald, L. C., Gertler, P. J., & Neufeld, L. M. (2008). Role of cash in conditional cash transfer programmes for child health, growth, and development: An analysis of Mexico’s Oportunidades. The Lancet, 371(9615), 828-837. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(08)60382-7
Fondo de las Naciones Unidas para la Infancia. (2017). Incidencia distributiva del gasto en asignaciones familiares: AUH y educación. https://www.unicef.org/argentina/media/7936/file/Gasto%20en%20asignaciones%20familiares,%20AUH%20y%20educaci%C3%B3n.pdf
Gallego, J., Hoffmann, B., Ibarrarán, P., Medina, M. P., Pecha, C., Romero, O., Stampini, M., Vargas, D., & Vera-Cossio, D. A. (2021). Impactos del programa Ingreso Solidario frente a la crisis del covid-19 en Colombia. Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo. https://publications.iadb.org/publications/spanish/document/Impactos-del-programa-Ingreso-Solidario-frente-a-la-crisis-del-COVID-19-en-Colombia.pdf?download=true
Garganta, S., & Gasparini, L. C. (2012). El impacto de un programa social sobre la informalidad laboral: El caso de la AUH en Argentina. Documentos de Trabajo del CEDLAS, 133. https://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/bitstream/handle/10915/18044/Documento_completo__.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Gasparini, L., & Cruces, G. (2010). Las asignaciones universales por hijo en Argentina: Impacto, discusión y alternativas. Económica, 56, 145-186. https://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/bitstream/handle/10915/9367/Documento_completo__.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Gelo, D., & Dikgang, J. (2022). Implications of covid-19 labour market shock for child and household hungers in South Africa: Do social protection programs protect? PLoS ONE, 17(7), e0269848. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0269848
Gentilini, U. (2022). Cash transfers in pandemic times: Evidence, practices, and implications from the largest scale up in history. The World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/37700
Gertler, P. (2004). Do conditional cash transfers improve child health? Evidence from PROGRESA’s control randomized experiment. American Economic Review, 94(2), 336-341. https://doi.org/10.1257/
0002828041302109
González-Rozada, M., & Llerena Pinto, F. (2011). The effects of a conditional transfer program on the labor market: The Human Development Bonus in Ecuador. Inter-American Development Bank. https://conference.iza.org/conference_files/worldb2011/gonzalez-rozada_m6803.pdf
Hidrobo, M., Peterman, A., & Heise, L. (2016). The effect of cash, vouchers, and food transfers on intimate partner violence: Evidence from a randomized experiment in Northern Ecuador. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 8(3), 284-303. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20150048
Hui, X., Reshef, O., & Zhou, L. (2024). The short-term effects of generative artificial intelligence on employment: Evidence from an online labor market. Organization Science, 35(6), 1977-1989. https://doi.org/10.1287/orsc.2023.18441
Jones, D., Molitor, D., & Reif, J. (2019). What do workplace wellness programs do? Evidence from the Illinois workplace wellness study. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 134(4), 1747-1791. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjz023
Kliksberg, B., Novacovsky, I., Adúriz, I., Arinci, V., Chitarroni, H., Trotta Gamus, E., & Wermus, N. (2015). El gran desafío: Romper la trama de la desigualdad desde la infancia. Aprendizajes de la Asignación Universal por Hijo. Biblos.
Kumar, A., Mishra, A. K., Saroj, S., & Rashid, S. (2022). Government transfers, covid‐19 shock, and food insecurity: Evidence from rural households in India. Agribusiness, 38(3), 636-659. https://doi.org/10.1002/agr.21746
Laguinge, L. (2022). El impacto de la expansión de las transferencias monetarias: El caso de la Tarjeta Alimentar en Argentina. Working Papers, 4617. https://aaep.org.ar/works/works2022/4617.pdf
MacKinnon, J. G. (2009). Bootstrap hypothesis testing. En D. A. Belsley, & E. J. Kontoghiorghes (eds.), Handbook of computational econometrics (pp. 183-213). John Wiley & Sons. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470748916
Maurizio, R., & Vázquez, G. (2014). Argentina: Impacts of the child allowance programme on the labour-market behaviour of adults. Cepal Review, 2014(113), 115-137. https://doi.org/10.18356/e4468a6e-en
Mercado, S. (2019, 20 de diciembre). El Gobierno puso en marcha su proyecto más ambicioso: El Consejo Argentina contra el Hambre. Infobae. https://www.infobae.com/politica/2019/12/20/el-gobierno-puso-en-marcha-su-proyecto-mas-ambicioso-el-consejo-argentina-contra-el-hambre/
Ministerio de Capital Humano. (2019, 26 de diciembre). Ya funciona en Concordia la Tarjeta de alimentos. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/noticias/ya-funciona-en-concordia-la-tarjeta-de-alimentos
Ministerio de Capital Humano. (2020, 23 de marzo). El Gobierno Nacional anunció un ingreso familiar de emergencia para trabajadores informales y monotributistas. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/noticias/el-gobierno-nacional-anuncio-un-ingreso-familiar-de-emergencia-para-trabajadores-informales
Parker, S. W., & Todd, P. E. (2017). Conditional cash transfers: The case of Progresa/Oportunidades. Journal of Economic Literature, 55(3), 866-915. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20151233
Pega, F., Pabayo, R., Benny, C., Lee, E. Y., Lhachimi, S. K., & Liu, S. Y. (2022). Unconditional cash transfersfor reducing poverty and vulnerabilities: Effect on use of health services and health outcomes in low‐and middle‐income countries. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 3. https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD011135.pub3
Poy, S., Salvia, A., & Tuñón, I. (2021). Evaluación de impacto del Programa Tarjeta Alimentar: Efectos directos e indirectos en la inseguridad alimentaria, consumos alimentarios y no alimentarios. Barómetro de la Deuda Social Argentina. https://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/bitstream/123456789/11983/1/evaluacion-impacto-alimentar.pdf
Roca, E. (2011). Asignación Universal por Hijo (AUH): Extensión de las asignaciones familiares. Revista Debate Público: Reflexión de Trabajo Social, 1(1), 30-43. https://trabajosocial.sociales.uba.ar/wp-content/uploads/sites/13/2016/03/6_roca.pdf
Rogers, P. (2014). La teoría del cambio. Fondo de las Naciones Unidas para la Infancia. https://cooperacionsursur.org/wp-content/uploads/Brief-2-Theory-of-Change_ES.pdf
Rosenzweig, M. R., & Udry, C. (2020). External validity in a stochastic world: Evidence from low-income countries. The Review of Economic Studies, 87(1), 343-381. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdz021
Salvia, A., Tinoboras, C., Donza, E., & Cicciari, M. (2025). Informe metodológico de la Encuesta de la Deuda Social Argentina: Agenda para la Equidad (2017-2024). Observatorio de la Deuda Social Argentina. https://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/handle/123456789/19905
Salvia, A., Tuñón, I., & Musante, B. (2012). La inseguridad alimentaria en la Argentina: Hogares urbanos. Observatorio de la Deuda Social Argentina. https://wadmin.uca.edu.ar/public/20180502/1525290164_Informe_Inseguridad_Alimentaria___doc_de_trabajo_.pdf_-_ultimo.pdf
Skoufias, E. (2007). Poverty alleviation and consumption insurance: Evidence from PROGRESA in Mexico. The Journal of Socio-Economics, 36(4), 630-649. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socec.2006.12.020
Soares, F. V., Ribas, R. P., & Osório, R. G. (2010). Evaluating the impact of Brazil’s Bolsa Familia: Cash transfer programs in comparative perspective. Latin American Research Review, 45(2), 173-190. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0023879100009390
Tarjeta Alimentaria: Cómo sigue el cronograma de entregas. (2020, 23 de febrero). El Cronista. https://www.cronista.com/economia-politica/tarjeta-alimentaria-como-sigue-el-cronograma-de-entregas/
Troller-Renfree, S. V., Costanzo, M. A., Duncan, G. J., Magnuson, K., Gennetian, L. A., Yoshikawa, H., Halpern-Meekin, S., Fox, N. A., & Noble, K. G. (2022). The impact of a poverty reduction intervention on infant brain activity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(5), e2115649119. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2115649119
Tuñón, I., & García Balus, N. (2024). Inseguridad alimentaria en la infancia y sistemas de protección social por transferencias de ingresos no contributivas en la crisis social por covid-19 en la población urbana argentina (2019-2021). Journal de Ciencias Sociales, 1(22), 52-75. https://doi.org/10.18682/jcs.v1i22.9665
Tuñón, I., & Sánchez, M. E. (2021). Efectos del aislamiento social preventivo y obligatorio por covid-19 en la seguridad alimentaria de las infancias argentinas. Revista Salud Pública, 25(1), 95-106. https://doi.org/10.31052/1853.1180.v25.n1.31134
Van Hemelryck, T., & Atuesta, B. (2022). Protección social de emergencia frente a los impactos de la pandemia de covid-19 en américa Latina y el Caribe: Evidencia y aprendizajes sobre sistemas universales, integrales, sostenibles y resilientes de protección social. Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe. https://repositorio.cepal.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/d6f31a87-f61a-4a76-b71a-c95a48dbdd82/content
Villagómez-Ornelas, P., Hernández-López, P., Carrasco-Enríquez, B., Barrios-Sánchez, K., Pérez-Escamilla, R., & Melgar-Quiñónez, H. (2014). Validez estadística de la Escala Mexicana de seguridad alimentaria y la Escala Latinoamericana y Caribeña de seguridad alimentaria. Salud Pública de México, 56, s5-s11. https://doi.org/10.21149/spm.v56s1.5160
Westfall, P. H., & Young, S. S. (1993). Resampling-based multiple testing: Examples and methods for p-value adjustment. John Wiley & Sons.
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Desarrollo y Sociedad

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.