Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad logo

Desarro. soc. | eISSN 1900-7760 | ISSN 0120-3584

The value of longevity: An international analysis

No. 90 (2022-03-01)
  • Gabriel Martínez

Abstract

The economic value of increases in the length of life is estimated for a large set of countries using age-specific data on consumption, leisure earnings, and mortality. Estimates are sensitive to parameters on intertemporal substitution and minimum consumption, and to the interest rate. A scenario of improvement of 1/10000 survival probabilities across life results in Value of Statistical Life (VSL) gains at the beginning of life of around USD $500 for the wealthier countries, $200 for middle-income, and $30 for the poorest. Benchmark income elasticities are in general below 1, except for low-income countries at older ages. The income elasticity of VSL is calculated directly, and not, as in previous literature, calculated for less developed countries based on measurements for wealthier countries.

Keywords: Health economics, ageing, social policy, human development, international

References

Aldy, J.E. & Viscusi, W.K. (2007). Age Differences in the Value of Statistical Life: Revealed Preference Evidence. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 1 (2): 241–260. doi: 10.1093/reep/rem014

Card, D. (1999). The casual effect of education on earnings. In Ashenfelter, O. & Layard. R. Handbook of Labor Economics, Vol. 3, Ch. 30, Elsevier Science Publishers BV.

DoucouliagosH, StanleyTD, & ViscusiWK. (2014). Publication selection and the income elasticity of the value of a statistical life. J Health Econ. 2014 Jan;33:67-75. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2013.10.010. Epub 2013 Nov 6. PMID: 24300998.

Hall, Robert E. (1988). Intertemporal Substitution in Consumption. Journal of Political Economy, 96 (2), 339-357.

Havranek, T., Horvath, R., Irsova, Z. & Rusnak, M. (2013). Cross-Country Heterogeneity in Intertemporal Substitution. IES Working Paper: 11/2013. Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University in Prague.

Heckman, J. J., Lochner, L.J. & Petra E.Todd (2006). Earnings functions, rates of return and treatment effects: the Mincer equation and beyond. In Hanushek, E. A. & Welch, F. Handbook of the Economics of Education, Vol. 1. Chap. 7, Elsevier Science Publishers BV.

Hersch, J. & Viscusi, W.K. (2010). Immigrant Status and the Value of Statistical Life, Journal of Human Resources, 45, 749–71.

IHME (2017). Global Burden of Disease Study 2017, Results. Seattle, United States: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Recovered from: http://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-2017 [June 2019].

International Labor Office. https://ilostat.ilo.org/ILO: Genève. [March 2020]

Jamison, D. T., Summers, L. H., Alleyne, G., Arrow, K. J., Berkley, S., Binagwaho, A., et al. (2013). Global health 2035: a world converging within a generation. Lancet, 382, 898-955. Medline:24309475 doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(13)62105-4

Kaplow, L. (2008). The theory of taxation and public economics. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.

Lagakos, D., Moll, B., Porzio, T. & Qian, N. (2018). Life Cycle Wage Growth across Countries, Journal of Political Economy, 126(2), 797-849. https://doi.org/10.1086/696225

Lee, R. & Mason, A. lead authors and editors (2011). Population Aging and the Generational Economy: A Global Perspective, Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar.

Low, H. & Meghir, C. (2017). The Use of Structural Models in Econometrics. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 31(2), 33-58. DOI: 10.1257/jep.31.2.33.

Mardones, C. & Riquelme, M. (2018). Estimation of the Value of Statistical Life in Chile and Extrapolation to Other Latin American Countries. Latin American Research Review53(4): 815–830. DOI: https://doi.org/10.25222/larr.61

Masterman, C. & Viscusi, W.K. (2017). Income Elasticity and the Global Value of a Statistical Life. Vanderbilt Law Research Paper No. 17-29, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2975466 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2975466

McCloskey, D. (1987). Counterfactuals. In Eatwell, J.Milgate, M. & Newman, P. The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics, 1. London: Macmillan Press, Ltd.: 701-703.

McFadden, Daniel (2008). Human capital accumulation and depreciation. Review of Agricultural Economics, 30(3), 379-385.

Murphy, K. M. & Topel, R. H. (2003). The Economic Value of Medical Research. In: Murphy, K. M. & Topel, R. H. (eds.) Measuring the Gains from Medical Research: An Economic Approach, Chicago University of Chicago Press. DOI: 10.7208/hicago/9780226551791.001.0001

Murphy, K. M. & Topel, R. H. (2006). The Value of Health and Longevity. Journal of Political Economy, 114(5), 871-904, http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/508033.

NTA (2019). National Transfer Accounts. www.ntaccounts.org, [October 2019].

OECD (2012). Mortality Risk Valuation in Environment, Health and Transport Policies, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264130807-en.

Robinson, L. A., Hammitt, J. K., Jamison, D. T. & Walker, D. G. (2019a). Conducting Benefit-Cost Analysis in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: Introduction to the Special Issue, Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis10(S1), 1-14.

Robinson, L. A., Hammitt, J. K. & O’Keeffe, L. (2019b). Valuing Mortality Risk Reductions in Global Benefit-Cost Analysis. Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 10(S1), 15–50. doi:10.1017/bca.2018.26.

Rosen, H. S. (1974). The Monetary Value of a Housewife: A Replacement Cost Approach. American Journal of Economics and Sociology, 33(1), 65-73. https://www.jstor.org/stable/3485542.

Salomon, J. A., Haagsma, J. A., Davis, A., Maertens of Noordhout, C., Polinder, S., Havelaar, A. H., Cassini, A., Devleesschauwer, B., Kretzschmar, M., Speybroeck, N., Murray, C. J. L. & Vos, T. (2015). Disability weights for the Global Burden of Disease 2013 study. www.thelancet.com/lancetgh, 3.

Salomon, J. A. (2003). Reconsidering the use of rankings in the valuation of health states: a model for estimating cardinal values ​​from ordinal data. Population Health Metrics.

Salomon, J. A. (2010). New disability weights for the global burden of disease. Bulletin of the World Health Organization. Doi: 10.2471 / BLT.10.084301

Thaler, R. & Rosen, S. (1976). The value of saving a life: evidence from the labor market. In N.E.Terleckyj, ed. Household Production and Consumption, Cambridge.

Viscusi, W.K. (2018). Pricing Lives: International Guideposts for Safety. Economic Record, 94 (Special Issue): 1–10.

World Health Organization (2018). WHO methods and data sources for global burden of disease estimates 2000-2016. Global Health Estimates Technical Paper WHO/HIS/IER/GHE/2018.4. (http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/GlobalDALYmethods_2000_2016.pdf)

Willis, R.J. (1986). Wage determinants: a survey and reinterpretation of human capital earnings functions. In Ashenfelter, O. & Layard, R. Handbook of Labor Economics, Vol. I, Ch. 10, Elsevier Science Publishers BV.

License