Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad logo

Desarro. soc. | eISSN 1900-7760 | ISSN 0120-3584

The relationship between tax structures and income inequality

No. 100 (2025-07-17)
  • Carlândia Fernandes
    State University of Maringá
  • Marcos Roberto Vasconcelos
    State University of Maringá
  • Marina Silva da Cunha
    State University of Maringá
  • Thomas Obst
    German Economic Institute

Abstract

The global rise in income inequality has heightened interest in how fiscal policy—particularly the composition of tax revenues—affects income distribution. This study examines the relationship between government revenues from direct and indirect taxes and income inequality, contributing to the tax incidence literature through three key innovations: it focuses on a recent period (2000–2012), compares countries with different income levels and tax structures, and addresses endogeneity using the System Generalized Method of Moments (System GMM) estimator. The empirical analysis reveals that a greater reliance on indirect taxation is associated with higher income inequality, while a larger share of direct taxes correlates with reduced inequality. These patterns hold across both OECD and non-OECD countries. Given the higher Gini coefficients observed in non-OECD economies, the findings highlight the importance of enhancing tax progressivity as a policy strategy to reduce income disparities and promote more equitable economic development.

Keywords: fiscal policy, tax structure, income distribution, economic inequality, developing countries

References

Acemoglu, D. (2009). Introduction to modern economic growth. Princeton University Press.

Acemoglu, D., & Robinson, J. (2012). Por que as nações fracassam: as origens do poder, da prosperidade e da pobreza. Elsevier.

Arellano, M., & Bover, O. (1995) Another Look at the Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error-Components Models. Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), 29-51.

Adam, A., Kammas, P., & Lapatinas, A. (2015). Income inequality and the tax structure: evidence from developed and developing countries. Journal of Comparative Economics- 43(1), 138-154.

Atkinson, A. B. (2015). Desigualdade: o que pode ser feito? LeYa.

Atkinson, A. B., & Stiglitz, J. E. (1976). The design of tax structure: direct versus indirect taxation. Journal of Public Economics. 6(1-2). 55-75.

Azevedo, J. P., David, A. C, Bastos, F.R., & Pineda, E. (2014). Fiscal Adjustment and Income Inequality: Sub-National Evidence from Brazil(Working Paper No. 6945). The World Bank. [http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/151341468236702574]

Bastagli, F., Coady, D., & Gupta, S. (2012). Income Inequality and Fiscal Policy(IMF Staff Discussion Note No. 12/08R). International Monetary Fund. [https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sdn/2012/sdn1208.pdf]

Berg, A., & Ostry, J. (2011). Inequality and unsustainable growth: Two sides of the same coin? (IMF Staff Discussion Note No. 11/08). International Monetary Fund. [https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sdn/2011/sdn1108.pdf]

Berg, A., Ostry, J. D., & Zettelmeyer, J. (2012). What makes growth sustained? Journal of Development Economics. 98(2). 149-166.

Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998). Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models’. Journal of Econometrics- 87(1), 115-143.

Bond, S. R. (2002). Dynamic Panel Data Models: a guide to micro data methods and practice. Portuguese Economic Journal, 1(2), 141-162.

Burman, L. E. (2012). Taxes and inequality. Tax Law Review, 66, 563.

Ciminelli, G., Ernst, E., Giuliodori, M., & Merola, R. (2017). The composition effects of tax-based consolidations on income inequality (Research Department Working Paper No. 19). International Labour Office. [https://www.ilo.org/publications/composition-effects-tax-based-consolidations-income-inequality]

Cingano, F. (2014). Trends in Income In equality and its impact on Economic Growth (OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working PapersNo. 163). OECD Publishing. [https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/trends-in-income-inequality-and-its-impact-on-economic-growth_5jxrjncwxv6j-en.html]

Chu, K. Y., Davoodi, H., & Gupta, S. (2004). Income Distribution and Tax and Government Social-Spending Policies in Developing Countries. In G. A. Cornia (Ed.), Inequality, Growth, and Poverty in an Era of Liberalization and Globalization (pp.249). Oxford University Press on Demand.

Decoster, A., Loughrey, J., O`Donoghue, C., & Verwerft, D. (2010). How regressive are indirect taxes? A microsimulation analysis for five European countries. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 29(2), 326-350.

Diamond, P.A., & Mirrlees, J.A. (1971). Optimal taxation and public production. The American Economic Review, 61(1), 8-27.

Djankov, S., Ganser, T., Mcleish, C., Ramalho, L., & Shleifer, A. (2009). The effect of corporate taxes on investment and entrepreneurship. American Economics Journal, 4(2), 23-32.

Duncan, D., & Sabirianova Peter, K. (2016). Unequal inequalities: Do progressive taxes reduce income inequality? International Tax and Public Finance, 23(4), 762-783.

Fernandes, C. B. S., Cunha, M. S., & Vasconcelos, M. R. (2019). Giving with one hand and taking away with the other. Estudios económicos, 36(73), 43-70.

Gobetti, S. W. (2022). Novas tendências para uma boa reforma da tributação da renda. In: M. Pires (Org), Progressividade tributária e crescimento econômico (pp. 15-49. FGV IBRE.

Goñi, E., López, J.H., & Servén, L. (2011). Fiscal Redistribution and Income Inequality in Latin America. World Development, 39(9), 1558-1569.

Gornick, J. C., & Jäntti, M. (2014). Income Inequality: Economic Disparities and the Middle Class in Affluent Countries. Stanford University Press.

Joumard, I., Pisu, M., & Bloch, D. (2012). Tackling income inequality: the role of taxes and transfers. OECD Journal: Economic Studies, 2012(1), 1-36.

Kennedy, T., Smyth, R., Valadkhani, A., & Chen, G. (2017). Does income inequality hinder economic growth? New evidence using Australian taxation statistics. Economic Modelling, 65, 119-128.

Kuznets, S. (1955). Economic growth and income inequality. American Economic Review, 45(1), 1-28.

Lambert, P. J. (2001). The Distribution and Redistribution of Income (3rd ed.). Manchester University Press.

Lee, D. J., & Son, J. C. (2016). Economic growth and income inequality: evidence from dynamic panel investigation. Global Economic Review, 45(4), 331-358.

Lustig, N. (2016). Fiscal policy, inequality and the poor in the developing world (Working Paper No. 164). Center for Global Development. [https://ideas.repec.org/p/cgd/wpaper/441.html]

Lustig, N., Pessino, C., & Scott, J. (2014). The impact of taxes and social spending on inequality and poverty in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Mexico, Peru, and Uruguay: Introduction to the special issue. Public Finance Review, 42(3), 287-303.

Mahler, V. A., & Jesuit, D. K. (2018). Indirect taxes and government inequality reduction: a cross-national analysis of the developed world. Journal of Income Distribution, 16(2), 1-26.

Martinez-Vazquez, J. (2008). The impact of budgets on the poor: Tax and expenditure benefit incidence analysis. In B. Moreno-Dodson & Q. (Eds.), Public finance for poverty reduction: Concepts and case studies from Africa and Latin America (pp. 113-162). World Bank.

Martinez-Vazquez, J., Vulovic, V., & Liu, Y. (2011). Direct versus indirect taxation: trends, theory, and economic significance. In E. Albi & J. Martinez-Vazquez (Eds.), The Elgar guide to tax systems (pp. 37-92). Edward Elgar Publishing.

Martinez-Vazquez, J.,, B. Moreno Dodson., &V. Vulovic. (2014). The impact of tax and expenditures policies on income distribution: evidence from a large panel of countries. Review of Public Economics, 200(4/2012), 95-130.

Meltzer, A. H., & Richard, S. F. (1981). A rational theory of the size of government. Journal of Political Economy, 89, 914-927.

Muinelo-Gallo, L., & Roca-Sagalés, O. (2013). Joint determinants of fiscal policy, income inequality and economic growth. Economic Modelling, 30, 814-824.

North, D. C. (1990). Institutions, institutional change and economic performance. Cambridge University Press.

Ostry J., Berg, A., & Tsangarides, C. (2014). Redistribution, inequality, and growth (IMF Staff Discussion Note No.14/02). International Monetary Fund. [https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sdn/2014/sdn1402.pdf]

Persson, T., & Tabellini, G. (1994). Is Inequality Harmful for Growth? The American Economic Review, 84(3), 600-621.

Pickering, A., & Rajput, S. (2018). Inequality and the composition of taxes. International Tax and Public Finance, 25(4), 1001-1028.

Piketty, T. (2014). Capital in the Twenty-First Century. The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.

Poterba, J. M. (2007). Income inequality and income taxation. Journal of Policy Modeling, 29, 623-633.

Prichard, W., Goodall, A., & Cobham, A. (2014). The ICTD Government Revenue Dataset (ICTD Working Paper No. 19).International Centre for Tax and Development. [https://www.ictd.ac/publication/the-ictd-government-revenue-dataset/]

Roodman, D. (2009). How to do Xtabond2: An Introduction to Difference and System GMM in Stata. Stata Journal, 9(1), 86-136.

Stephenson, A. V. (2018). The impact of personal income tax structure on income inequality for Belgium, Bulgaria, Germany, Lithuania, and Poland: A comparison of flat and graduated income tax structures. Atlantic Economic Journal, 46(4), 405-417.

Stiglitz, J. E., & Rosengard, J. K. (2015). Economics of the Public Sector. W.W. Norton & Company.

Stiglitz, J. E. (2017). El Precio de La Desigualdad: el 1% de la población tiene lo que el 99% necesita. Taurus Pensamiento.

UNU-WIDER (2018). GRD - Government Revenue Dataset [Data Set]. UNI-WIDER. https://www.wider.unu.edu/project/government-revenue-dataset

Vartia, L. (2008). How do taxes affect investment and productivity? An industry-level analysis of OECD countries (OECD Economics Department Working Paper No. 656). Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. [https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2008/12/how-do-taxes-affect-investment-andproductivity_g17a1c35/230022721067.pdf]

Weller, C. E. (2007). The Benefits of Progressive Taxation in Economic Development. Review of Radical Political Economics, 39(3), 368-376.

Windmeijer, F. (2005). A Finite Sample Correction for the Variance of Linear Efficient Two-Step GMM Estimators. Journal of Econometrics, 126(1), 25-51.

Wintoki, M. B., Linck, J. S., & Netter, J. M. (2012). Endogeneity and the dynamics of internal corporate governance. Journal of financial economics, 105(3), 581-606.

Woo, J., Bova, M. E., Kinda, M. T., & Zhang, M. Y. S. (2013). Distributional consequences of fiscal consolidation and the role of fiscal policy: What do the data say? (IMF Working Paper No. 13/195). International Monetary Fund [https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2016/12/31/Distributional-Consequences-of-Fiscal-Consolidation-and-the-Role-of-Fiscal-Policy-What-Do-40942]

Yamada, K., & Kawaguchi, D. (2015). The changing and unchanged nature of inequality and seniority in Japan. Journal of Economic Inequality, 13(1), 129-153.

Yellen, J. (2014, October 17). Perspectives on Inequality and Opportunity from the Survey of Consumer Finances [Speech]. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/yellen20141017a.htm

Yokoyama, I., Kodama, N., & Higuchi, Y. (2019). What happened to wage inequality in Japan during the last 25 years? Evidence from the FFL decomposition method. Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 51, 87-98.

License

Copyright (c) 2025 Desarrollo y Sociedad

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.